Since 2000, home teams have held a decided advantage over their visitors during the Divisional Playoff games, winning 20 of the 28 games with sweeps in 2002 and 2004.
Both AFC teams won on the road last season, but those teams were New England (at San Diego) and Indianapolis (at Baltimore).
There are two games Saturday. Here’s a look at each. (Last week: 2-2)
Seattle at Green Bay
Seattle looked strong beating Washington in the Wild Card round, but the Packers and the Wisconsin winter pose another set of problems.
Brett Favre has been tough to stop this season.
This Seattle team is much better than the one that lost there in overtime during the 2003 Wild Card weekend. The Seahawks will try to attack Favre just like they did last week against Redskins quarterback Todd Collins.
The difference is Collins is not Favre, who has seen everything a team can possibly throw at him.
Favre should have enough magic to advance the Packers to their first NFC title game since 1998.
Green Bay 31, Seattle 20
Jacksonville at New England
Jacksonville has the running game to control the clock and keep the ball away from Tom Brady and the defense to pressure Brady. Problem is the Patriots can score in a hurry, so time of possession is not necessarily the Jaguars friend.
The Patriots are rested and focused. It’s no longer about going undefeated. It’s about winning the Super Bowl, and the Patriots have some experience with that.
Jacksonville had a great regular season and an emotional win at Pittsburgh in the Wild Card round. That they are even thought of as having a slight chance to pull the upset speaks of how good this team can be. And they can be that good, just not on Saturday in New England.
The Jaguars will keep it close early. The Patriots will dominate late.
New England 41, Jacksonville 17.
Friday, January 11, 2008
More playoff games, more playoff guesses
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